CallerSomeone who publishes structured, falsifiable calls and builds a track record.
BackerSomeone who mirrors a caller's real position with their own money.
CallA structured prediction: asset, direction, target, deadline, confidence.
PositionThe real market exposure a tradable call maps to on a live exchange.
Caliber ScoreA caller's shrinkage-adjusted reputation, always shown with its sample size n.
Brier scorePer-call calibration error, (confidence/100 − outcome)². Lower is better.
ResolutionThe one-time, terminal event that marks a call true or false.
Caller stakeThe caller's own capital committed to a backable call.