BETA — invite-only. Every call below is real, immutable, and scored on calibration — read the exact rules.
/overview

What is Caliber

A callermakes a structured, falsifiable call — an asset, a direction, a target, a deadline, and a confidence level. It's scored on calibration, not luck. A backercan then mirror the caller's real position, sharing the real market outcome — never betting against anyone, and never against another user.

The diagram below is the whole shape of the product. Everything else on this page is detail underneath it.

STEP 01
Caller submits a call
Structured & falsifiable
STEP 02
Scored
Brier + Caliber Score
tradable
STEP 03
Backer mirrors the position
Real money, real market
↳ event
Event call — scored only
No liquid market to mirror, so it carries no money. Still fully scored.

Two ideas do separate jobs and stay separate on purpose: reputation tracks precision (the exact claim, scored strictly) while money tracks the real market (the actual price move). A call can make backers money and still score as a miss. See Worked examples.